Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.011722 10.036419 11.157891 12.481119 14.005740 15.714450 17.784338
2025-11-16 7.510745 8.839626 10.398901 12.380342 14.855143 17.876037 21.892052
2025-11-23 6.531661 7.967590 9.731274 12.087139 15.198040 19.232577 24.974043
2025-11-30 5.908440 7.418087 9.342419 12.021104 15.728131 20.793051 28.447009
2025-12-07 5.278400 6.777416 8.744610 11.574294 15.641539 21.442064 30.661347
2025-12-14 4.724002 6.178189 8.132906 11.022692 15.311547 21.657296 32.197765
2025-12-21 4.360665 5.803380 7.787559 10.799304 15.410927 22.486732 34.772148
2025-12-28 4.410886 6.002143 8.255721 11.795373 17.442267 26.536950 43.308989
2026-01-04 4.242931 5.871644 8.230386 12.034204 18.300186 28.788011 49.097986
2026-01-11 3.956669 5.545770 7.886594 11.738694 18.243930 29.466425 52.064047
2026-01-18 3.843591 5.468833 7.911532 12.029547 19.195374 32.022043 59.130952
2026-01-25 3.622106 5.211711 7.637063 11.800993 19.213931 32.865505 62.832731
2026-02-01 3.414893 4.971348 7.383872 11.606201 19.307965 33.932077 67.391729
2026-02-08 3.241838 4.774469 7.187660 11.493407 19.542788 35.313009 72.982474
2026-02-15 3.054667 4.543267 6.918648 11.227535 19.455651 36.022675 77.134810
2026-02-22 2.922473 4.392628 6.772463 11.167191 19.755589 37.576083 83.725332
2026-03-01 2.738266 4.146792 6.450399 10.759418 19.322813 37.487203 86.040384
2026-03-08 2.551191 3.887165 6.090481 10.255515 18.647898 36.777721 86.542036
2026-03-15 2.428635 3.729280 5.897328 10.051288 18.571514 37.418792 90.985550
2026-03-22 2.494493 3.891607 6.271907 10.961228 20.942926 44.156872 115.280707
2026-03-29 2.447118 3.856802 6.292644 11.179149 21.837748 47.469855 130.145318
2026-04-05 2.331404 3.697517 6.078693 10.909498 21.608494 47.886573 135.482206
2026-04-12 2.298224 3.681335 6.125761 11.174901 22.635857 51.770070 154.325725